Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.287976 0.337002 0.388825 0.447401 0.511485 0.579196 0.655878
2025-02-02 0.222520 0.289885 0.365812 0.456566 0.560957 0.676216 0.812034
2025-02-09 0.167882 0.244152 0.335747 0.451073 0.589727 0.748595 0.941921
2025-02-16 0.132788 0.214966 0.319713 0.457823 0.630200 0.833751 1.087807
2025-02-23 0.102215 0.185610 0.298649 0.454558 0.656084 0.900636 1.212752
2025-03-02 0.073666 0.153055 0.268364 0.435196 0.658663 0.937222 1.300439
2025-03-09 0.058427 0.136986 0.258069 0.440203 0.691057 1.010205 1.433027
2025-03-16 0.043148 0.117085 0.239142 0.430735 0.702508 1.055620 1.531033
2025-03-23 0.036612 0.111066 0.240293 0.449247 0.751592 1.149918 1.691841
2025-03-30 0.028094 0.098828 0.229671 0.448999 0.773889 1.208859 1.807755
2025-04-06 0.021593 0.088728 0.221050 0.450572 0.797992 1.269937 1.926702
2025-04-13 0.017380 0.082489 0.218196 0.460469 0.833757 1.346822 2.066906
2025-04-20 0.014276 0.078186 0.218623 0.475989 0.878828 1.438226 2.229146
2025-04-27 0.011612 0.074057 0.218804 0.490909 0.923265 1.529480 2.392502
2025-05-04 0.008147 0.065510 0.208990 0.488235 0.940883 1.583636 2.506869
2025-05-11 0.006149 0.060767 0.206223 0.497143 0.975999 1.662508 2.655197
2025-05-18 0.004061 0.053787 0.197466 0.494729 0.993198 1.716048 2.769586
2025-05-25 0.002024 0.043817 0.179888 0.474831 0.981814 1.728110 2.827020
2025-06-01 0.001280 0.040066 0.176424 0.480467 1.010788 1.798265 2.964661
2025-06-08 0.000554 0.033859 0.165338 0.470628 1.014108 1.830859 3.050378
2025-06-15 0.000395 0.033307 0.169400 0.490352 1.066116 1.935248 3.236833
2025-06-22 0.000152 0.029553 0.163661 0.490153 1.084966 1.990859 3.355493
2025-06-29 0.000042 0.026451 0.159095 0.491856 1.106779 2.050905 3.480719